Poverty
Reduction or Redux
By Dr Arvind
Kumar
According to recent media reports on a
preview of the US National Intelligence Council’s global forecast offered at
the Aspen Security Forum in Colorado, it has been estimated that poverty across
the planet will be virtually eliminated by 2030, with a rising middle class of
some two billion people pushing for more rights and demanding more resources.
While forecsting the rise of the global middle class going from one to two
billion, the preview further adds that if current trends continue, the 1
billion people who live on less than a dollar a day now will drop to half that
number in roughly two decades.
While dealing with the negative effects,
the preview predicts food demand will rise by 50% in the next 18 years, though
global population will only rise from 7.1 to 8.3 billion. Asserting that the middle-class
people want middle-class diets, which are heavy in meat, requiring more water
and grain to produce, the preview warns that “nearly 50% of humanity will live
in water-stressed regions by 2030.” However, it strikes a note of optimism by predicting
that new technological developments could help close the gap between food and
water shortages and need. Predicting that more people will migrate to cities, the
preview says that presently some 50% of the world lives in urban areas now will
be rising to 60% by 2030.
However, this preview is silent about
the growing disparities between the rich and the poor at global level which
will further widen with the increase in number of billionnaires and ‘paupers’
concurrently. Will this phenomenon lead to poverty reduction or its redux?
#Redux #Phenomenon #Poverty #Humanity #Water #Grain #Demand #Meat
#Redux #Phenomenon #Poverty #Humanity #Water #Grain #Demand #Meat
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